Articles by Estefano Gomez
Mark Gurman reports that Tim Cook is passing a product lineup including a foldable iPhone to John Ternus, and the Polymarket contract for Ternus as the next Apple CEO sits at 73%
YES.
Market react�...
Iran has rejected nuclear limits in ceasefire talks, prioritizing sanctions relief and the reopening of the Strait of Hormuz. The odds of Iran agreeing to end uranium enrichment by April 30 have drop�...
Apple CEO Tim Cook has officially named John Ternus as his successor, handing over a product pipeline that includes a foldable iPhone set for September. The Polymarket contract on who becomes the nex�...
Iran’s foreign minister revealed a “workable framework” to end the war on Iran. The market for the Iranian regime falling by June 30 sits at 8.5%
YES, up slightly from 8% yesterday.
The annou...
The Iran conflict has put oil supply dependencies back in focus. The crude oil all-time high by April 30 market sits at 1%
YES, unchanged from a week ago.
The conflict has disrupted energy infrast�...
Investors are watching for potential bond sell-offs as major central banks confront war-driven inflation pressure. The Polymarket contract for Bitcoin dipping to $60,000 in April sits at 0.4%
YES.
�...
Trump’s recent comments about a potential end to the Iran conflict and willingness to negotiate by phone have moved prediction markets. The US-Iran peace deal by April 30 sits at 2%
YES, while the...
Iran’s Vice President Esmail Saghab Esfahani warned of retaliation against countries supporting attacks on Iran’s infrastructure. The Crude Oil Predictions for June market is now in focus as the t...
Trump’s push for US control of Iran’s nuclear material has collapsed market odds. The US-Iran nuclear deal by April 30 sits at 2.7%
YES, down from 7% just 24 hours ago and from 68% a week ago.
...
Senator Thom Tillis has reversed his opposition and now supports Kevin Warsh’s confirmation as Federal Reserve Chair. The May 15 confirmation market has surged to 95%
YES, up from 29% just 24 hour...
.png)