Estefano Gomez

Articles by Estefano Gomez

Crypto market hit by $560M in liquidations amid US-Iran tensions

Crypto May 3, 2026

## Market Snapshot The β€œWill Bitcoin reach $80,000 in April?” market shows a current YES pricing at 0.1%, down from 3% 24 hours ago, and 58% seven days ago. The β€œWill Ethereum reach $4,000 in A...

Trump rejects Iranian demands, lowers US war declaration likelihood

Crypto May 3, 2026

## Market Snapshot In the β€œTrump’s Iranian Demands in April” market, the likelihood of a YES outcome has decreased, with recent pricing suggesting resistance to Iranian demands. The β€œUS Decla...

Trump signs order to expedite psychedelic treatments for veterans

Crypto May 3, 2026

## Market Snapshot The market for β€œWill the US officially declare war on Iran by December 31, 2026?” is currently priced at 6.5% YES, down from 8% a week ago. The April 30, 2026, sub-market remai...

USS Gerald R. Ford leaves Middle East, signaling reduced US military presence

Crypto May 3, 2026

## Market Snapshot US Forces Enter Iran market is currently priced with a NO-leaning indication, reflective of a de-escalation scenario following the USS Gerald R. Ford’s departure. Strait of Hormu...

Libya boosts oil output amid Iran conflict, Strait of Hormuz disruptions persist

Crypto May 3, 2026

## Market Snapshot Strait of Hormuz Traffic market is currently not reporting a definitive YES or NO outcome. The recent news has implications for ongoing shipping disruptions, with potential effectοΏ½...

Trump ends Iran operations, reducing US invasion likelihood

Crypto May 3, 2026

## Market Snapshot In the β€œTrump Out as President by April 30” market, the YES pricing is at 0.1%, unchanged from 24 hours ago, with no time remaining. The β€œUS Invasion of Iran” market shows ...

Trump, Putin discuss Ukraine ceasefire, potential easing of Russia sanctions

Crypto May 3, 2026

## Market Snapshot Russia x Ukraine ceasefire market is priced at 9.5% YES, up from 8% a week ago. This market shows moderate volume, with a 1-point fluctuation noted recently. ## Key Takeaways – R...

Trump dissatisfied with Iran’s peace proposal, ceasefire prospects dim

Crypto May 3, 2026

## Market Snapshot The US-Iran ceasefire market currently shows a 0.1% probability for a YES outcome, down from 1% a day ago. In the next US-Iran diplomatic meeting market, the outcome remains uncerοΏ½...

EU labels US unreliable amid auto tariffs, impacting Greenland acquisition odds

Crypto May 3, 2026

## Market Snapshot In the β€œTrump’s Acquisition of Greenland” market, the current pricing suggests a decreased likelihood of a YES outcome due to recent geopolitical tensions. The odds have move...

Trump vows to counter nuclear ambitions amid Iran tensions

Crypto May 2, 2026

## Market Snapshot The market for a US-Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026, is currently priced at 22% YES, down from 24% 24 hours ago. Meanwhile, the market for the US obtaining Iranian enricοΏ½...


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